Poland vs Portugal: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
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What was the result of Poland vs Portugal?
Portugal won 1-3 on October 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 26′Bernardo SilvaPortugal
- 37′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
- 78′P. ZielińskiPoland
- 88′J. BednarekPortugal (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Portugal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2024 | France(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 5, 2024 | France(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 1, 2024 | Slovenia(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Poland win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Portugal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2018 | Portugal 1-1 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Poland 2-3 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Poland 2-2 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Portugal | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy