Spain vs Italy: result 1-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup B - 2Kick-off on June 20, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Spain vs Italy?
Spain won 1-0 on June 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 55′R. CalafioriSpain (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Northern Ireland(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Andorra(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Brazil(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Ecuador(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Venezuela(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spain win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2023 | Spain 2-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Italy 1-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy 1-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Spain 3-0 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Italy 1-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Italy | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 1st in Euro Championship (9 points from 3 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy