Spakenburg vs Ijsselmeervogels: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Ijsselmeervogels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs Ijsselmeervogels?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Spakenburg (1,903) and Ijsselmeervogels (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ijsselmeervogels have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spakenburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ijsselmeervogels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Spakenburg 1-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ijsselmeervogels 4-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Spakenburg 1-1 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| May 14, 2022 | Spakenburg 1-1 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Ijsselmeervogels 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Ijsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Ijsselmeervogels?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Ijsselmeervogels.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs Ijsselmeervogels played?
- Spakenburg vs Ijsselmeervogels is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.