Sparta Lichtenberg vs FC Lok Stendal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for FC Lok Stendal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs FC Lok Stendal?
Sparta Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Lok Stendal have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Neuruppin(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lok Stendal score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Lok Stendal | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Lok Stendal sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs FC Lok Stendal?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for FC Lok Stendal.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs FC Lok Stendal played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs FC Lok Stendal is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.