Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Hertha Zehlendorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737) and Hertha Zehlendorf (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hertha Zehlendorf have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anker Wismar(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hertha Zehlendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 Hertha Zehlendorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Hertha Zehlendorf 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha Zehlendorf score 0.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Hertha Zehlendorf | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Hertha Zehlendorf sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Hertha Zehlendorf.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.