Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Anker Wismar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737) and Anker Wismar (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Anker Wismar have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha Zehlendorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Anker Wismar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Anker Wismar 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 5-1 Anker Wismar | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 31, 2025 | Anker Wismar 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 2-1 Anker Wismar | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Anker Wismar 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-2 Anker Wismar | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Anker Wismar vs Sparta Lichtenberg on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Anker Wismar score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Anker Wismar | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Anker Wismar sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anker Wismar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Anker Wismar.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.