Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Tennis Borussia. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737) and Tennis Borussia (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tennis Borussia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Makkabi(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 30, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 15, 2026 | Croatia Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 10, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tennis Borussia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 5-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Tennis Borussia 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 24, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 5-3 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Tennis Borussia 3-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Tennis Borussia 4-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tennis Borussia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Tennis Borussia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Tennis Borussia sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Tennis Borussia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Tennis Borussia.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027BAK '07vsMakkabi
- Apr 18, 2027Optik RathenowvsHansa Rostock II
- Apr 18, 2027Eintracht MahlsdorfvsFC Lok Stendal
- Apr 18, 2027NeustrelitzvsHertha Zehlendorf
- Apr 18, 2027Mecklenburg SchwerinvsUnion Klosterfelde
- Apr 18, 2027Reinickendorfer FuchsevsAnker Wismar
- Apr 18, 2027SiedenbollentinvsLichtenberg