Tennis Borussia vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mommsenstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Tennis Borussia the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tennis Borussia vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Tennis Borussia (1,680) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tennis Borussia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Makkabi(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 30, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 15, 2026 | Croatia Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 10, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tennis Borussia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 5-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Tennis Borussia 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 24, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 5-3 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Tennis Borussia 3-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Tennis Borussia 4-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tennis Borussia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis Borussia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tennis Borussia sit 11th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Tennis Borussia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tennis Borussia vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Tennis Borussia the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Tennis Borussia vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Tennis Borussia vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mommsenstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.