Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,078) and FK Jablonec (2,011).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sparta Praha win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sparta Praha 2-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sparta Praha 3-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Jul 19, 2025 | FK Jablonec 1-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-3 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | FK Jablonec 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 4th in Czech Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 5th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec played?
- Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.