Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Nisy, Liberec
The Footlab model makes Slovan Liberec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Mlada Boleslav. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Slovan Liberec (1,986) and Mlada Boleslav (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Liberec have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mlada Boleslav have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slovan Liberec win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mlada Boleslav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Slovan Liberec 0-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 3-3 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 3-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Slovan Liberec | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Slovan Liberec 2-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Liberec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Liberec sit 4th in Czech Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav?
- The Footlab model makes Slovan Liberec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Mlada Boleslav.
- Where and when is Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav played?
- Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Nisy, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.