Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hradec Králové. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,082) and Hradec Králové (2,052).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hradec Králové have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sparta Praha win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hradec Králové win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha 2-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hradec Králové 2-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Sparta Praha 3-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Hradec Králové 0-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hradec Králové score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Hradec Králové | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 5th in Czech Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Hradec Králové sit 8th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hradec Králové.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové played?
- Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.