Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Malšovická Aréna, Hradec Králové
The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Hradec Králové (2,049) and Sparta Praha (2,078).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hradec Králové have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hradec Králové win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha 2-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hradec Králové 2-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Sparta Praha 3-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Hradec Králové 0-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hradec Králové score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Králové | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hradec Králové sit 7th in Czech Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha played?
- Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Malšovická Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.