Sparta Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Zbrojovka Brno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,082) and Zbrojovka Brno (2,047).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sparta Praha win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zbrojovka Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno 3-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Sparta Praha 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Cup |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sparta Praha 3-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Zbrojovka Brno 0-4 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 29, 2021 | Sparta Praha 6-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-4 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 5th in Czech Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Zbrojovka Brno.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- Sparta Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.