Sigma Olomouc vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Andrův stadion, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sigma Olomouc (1,983) and FK Jablonec (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sigma Olomouc have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovácko(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Artis(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sigma Olomouc win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec 2-1 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-2 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 2-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | FK Jablonec 4-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sigma Olomouc 0-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sigma Olomouc score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd in Czech Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sigma Olomouc vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Sigma Olomouc vs FK Jablonec played?
- Sigma Olomouc vs FK Jablonec is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Andrův stadion, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.