Spartak Medzev vs Kežmarok: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 17Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MFK Spartak Medzev, Medzev
The Footlab model makes Spartak Medzev the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Medzev vs Kežmarok?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Spartak Medzev (1,535) and Kežmarok (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Medzev have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kežmarok have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Snina(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rožňava(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Partizán Bardejov(away) | 3-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Spartak Medzev win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kežmarok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kežmarok 1-2 Spartak Medzev | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Spartak Medzev 1-1 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Kežmarok vs Spartak Medzev on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Medzev score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Medzev | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Medzev sit 7th in 3. liga - East (33 points from 26 matches) and Kežmarok sit 9th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Medzev | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 50 | 33 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Medzev vs Kežmarok?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Medzev the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Spartak Medzev vs Kežmarok played?
- Spartak Medzev vs Kežmarok is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MFK Spartak Medzev, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.