Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for FK Košice. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Spartak Trnava (1,945) and FK Košice (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Trnava have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FK Košice have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skalica(away) | 4-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Trencin(home) | 3-3 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Žilina(away) | 4-4 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Trnava win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FK Košice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | FK Košice 1-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 3-1 FK Košice | Super Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 0-1 FK Košice | Super Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | FK Košice 2-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 1-0 FK Košice | Super Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | FK Košice 1-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Košice vs Spartak Trnava on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FK Košice score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FK Košice | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Trnava sit 3rd in Super Liga (10 points from 4 matches) and FK Košice sit 7th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Trnava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | FK Košice | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for FK Košice.
- Where and when is Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice played?
- Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.