Spartak Trnava vs Ružomberok: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Ružomberok. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Trnava vs Ružomberok?
Spartak Trnava starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Trnava have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ružomberok have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-5 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skalica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spartak Trnava win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ružomberok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ružomberok 1-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 3-0 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| May 1, 2025 | Ružomberok 0-1 Spartak Trnava | Cup |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Ružomberok 0-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 2-2 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 1-0 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ružomberok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ružomberok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Trnava sit 1st in Super Liga (13 points from 5 matches) and Ružomberok sit 12th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Trnava vs Ružomberok?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Ružomberok.
- Where and when is Spartak Trnava vs Ružomberok played?
- Spartak Trnava vs Ružomberok is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.