Spartak Trnava vs Žilina: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Žilina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Trnava vs Žilina?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Spartak Trnava (1,962) and Žilina (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Trnava have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Žilina have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(away) | 4-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spartak Trnava win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Žilina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 1-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Žilina 0-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 0-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Žilina 2-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Žilina 2-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 2-4 Žilina | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Trnava vs Žilina on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Žilina score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Žilina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Trnava sit 1st in Super Liga (13 points from 5 matches) and Žilina sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Trnava vs Žilina?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Žilina.
- Where and when is Spartak Trnava vs Žilina played?
- Spartak Trnava vs Žilina is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.