Spartak Varna vs Kariana Erden: result 1-2 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 30, 2019 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Balchik
Full time
What was the result of Spartak Varna vs Kariana Erden?
Kariana Erden won 1-2 on November 30, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 16′E. IgnatovKariana Erden
- 17′I. PenevSpartak Varna
- 27′10945Kariana Erden
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kariana Erden have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-4 | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Litex(home) | 0-4 | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2019 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2019 | Botev Galabovo(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 19, 2019 | CSKA 1948(home) | 3-2 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 0.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kariana Erden score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 0.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| Kariana Erden | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy