Match

Spartans vs Elgin City: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh

SpartansElgin City

The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Spartans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elgin City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartans vs Elgin City?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Spartans (1,507) and Elgin City (1,523).

29%25%46%
Spartans winDrawElgin City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Spartans vs Elgin City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Spartans

4-3-3
  1. 9M. McNulty
  2. 29M. Stowe
  3. 11C. Russell
  1. 18B. Walls
  2. 4S. Welsh
  3. 28J. Craigen
  1. 19Ethan Drysdale
  2. 5J. Tapping
  3. 2Matthew Mudie
  4. 15A. Sonkur
  1. 21P. Martin

Elgin City

3-4-1-2
  1. 9K. Hester
  2. 11O. Colloty
  1. 7R. Dingwall
  2. 22J. Maciver
  3. 10M. Gallagher
  4. 77L. Scullion
  5. 23M. Grant
  1. 2M. Neill
  2. 5K. Girvan
  3. 6J. Murray
  1. 1T. Ritchie

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Elgin City have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartans
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Stranraer(home)0-2League Two
Oct 13, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)1-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Edinburgh City(away)3-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Kelty Hearts(home)0-2League Two
Sep 25, 2026Dundee II(home)1-0Challenge Cup
Elgin City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Edinburgh City(home)0-0League Two
Oct 13, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)2-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Clyde(home)6-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Peterhead(away)1-0Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spartans wins, 3 draws, 1 Elgin City win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spartans 3-3 Elgin CityLeague Two
Apr 25, 2026Spartans 1-1 Elgin CityLeague Two
Jan 31, 2026Elgin City 3-3 SpartansLeague Two
Dec 20, 2025Spartans 1-0 Elgin CityLeague Two
Sep 27, 2025Elgin City 2-3 SpartansLeague Two
Mar 22, 2025Spartans 1-2 Elgin CityLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Spartans vs Elgin City on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spartans score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spartans1.71.546/158/15
Elgin City2.31.367/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spartans sit 4th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Elgin City sit 3rd (18 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elgin City11533271718
4Spartans11434222015

A question about Spartans vs Elgin City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Elgin City?
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Spartans.
Where and when is Spartans vs Elgin City played?
Spartans vs Elgin City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spartans and Elgin City

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