Stirling Albion vs Elgin City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling Albion vs Elgin City?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stirling Albion (1,489) and Elgin City (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling Albion have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Elgin City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stirling Albion win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Elgin City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Stirling Albion 2-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Elgin City 1-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Elgin City 4-2 Stirling Albion | FA Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Stirling Albion 1-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Elgin City 3-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Elgin City 0-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stirling Albion vs Elgin City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling Albion score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Albion | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stirling Albion sit 6th in League Two (4 points from 4 matches) and Elgin City sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling Albion vs Elgin City?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stirling Albion.
- Where and when is Stirling Albion vs Elgin City played?
- Stirling Albion vs Elgin City is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.