Spartans vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Spartans (1,611) and Forfar Athletic (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartans win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Forfar Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 1-1 Spartans | League Two |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 1-1 Spartans | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 0-2 Spartans | League Two |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Spartans 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Spartans on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartans sit 5th in League Two (5 points from 4 matches) and Forfar Athletic sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Spartans vs Forfar Athletic is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.