Spartans vs Stirling Albion: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Stirling Albion?
Spartans starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Stirling Albion have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartans win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stirling Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Spartans 1-3 Stirling Albion | League Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Stirling Albion 2-2 Spartans | League Two |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Spartans 2-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Stirling Albion 1-1 Spartans | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Spartans 1-3 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Spartans 0-0 Stirling Albion | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Spartans vs Stirling Albion on Jul 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Stirling Albion | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartans sit 5th in League Two (5 points from 4 matches) and Stirling Albion sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Stirling Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Stirling Albion.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Stirling Albion played?
- Spartans vs Stirling Albion is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.