Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes Spartax the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Cruzeiro PB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Spartax (1,545) and Cruzeiro PB (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Cruzeiro PB have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Serrano PB(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Sabugy(home) | 3-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | São Paulo Crystal(home) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Queimadense(home) | 4-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Confianca PB(home) | 2-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guarabira(home) | 2-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Queimadense(away) | 3-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 1-1 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Spartax win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cruzeiro PB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB 2-0 Spartax | Paraibano 2 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Spartax 4-2 Cruzeiro PB | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Cruzeiro PB vs Spartax on Sep 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spartax score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro PB score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartax | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cruzeiro PB | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB?
- The Footlab model makes Spartax the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Cruzeiro PB.
- Where and when is Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB played?
- Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB is played on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.