Spezia vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Gubbio?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spezia vs Gubbio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 72S. Capolupo
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 1A. Micai
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 77A. Minta
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 14A. Cardascio
- 27L. Podda
- 6O. Barry
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 1N. Bagnolini
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Gubbio have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Latina(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (22 points from 8 matches) and Gubbio sit 16th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Spezia vs Gubbio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Gubbio played?
- Spezia vs Gubbio is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.