Match

Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, Washington

Spokane VelocityTormenta

The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tormenta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Spokane Velocity (1,737) and Tormenta (1,725).

Spokane Velocity win48 %
Draw25 %
Tormenta win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spokane Velocity have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spokane Velocity
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)2-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Corpus Christi(home)2-3USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Colorado Springs(home)1-1USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-1USL League One
Jul 23, 2026Charlotte Independence(home)3-0USL League One
Tormenta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)0-0USL League One
Oct 25, 2025Texoma(home)3-0USL League One
Oct 18, 2025Greenville Triumph(away)4-1USL League One
Oct 12, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)1-1USL League One
Oct 3, 2025Westchester SC(home)3-1USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Spokane Velocity win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Tormenta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2025Spokane Velocity 0-0 TormentaUSL League One
Oct 12, 2025Spokane Velocity 1-1 TormentaUSL League One
May 10, 2025Tormenta 0-1 Spokane VelocityUSL League One
Sep 15, 2024Spokane Velocity 0-0 TormentaUSL League One
Aug 4, 2024Tormenta 3-3 Spokane VelocityUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta on Nov 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spokane Velocity1.51.338/1510/15
Tormenta2.31.2410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Spokane Velocity201127292635

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta?
The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tormenta.
Where and when is Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta played?
Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at One Spokane Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Spokane Velocity and Tormenta

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