Match

Tormenta vs Corpus Christi: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

TormentaCorpus Christi

The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Corpus Christi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tormenta vs Corpus Christi?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Tormenta (1,725) and Corpus Christi (1,712).

Tormenta win56 %
Draw23 %
Corpus Christi win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tormenta have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Corpus Christi have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tormenta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)0-0USL League One
Oct 25, 2025Texoma(home)3-0USL League One
Oct 18, 2025Greenville Triumph(away)4-1USL League One
Oct 12, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)1-1USL League One
Oct 3, 2025Westchester SC(home)3-1USL League One
Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One

How many goals should we expect?

Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tormenta2.31.2410/1512/15
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Corpus Christi23797283230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tormenta vs Corpus Christi?
The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Corpus Christi.
Where and when is Tormenta vs Corpus Christi played?
Tormenta vs Corpus Christi is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tormenta Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tormenta and Corpus Christi

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