Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Bonner SC the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bonner SC?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869) and Bonner SC (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bonner SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC 2-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Bonner SC 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 Bonner SC | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Bonner SC 0-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Bonner SC | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Bonner SC 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Bonner SC vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bonner SC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bonner SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bonner SC?
- The Footlab model makes Bonner SC the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bonner SC played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bonner SC is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsHilden
- Dec 12, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsBochum II
- Dec 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsBergisch Gladbach
- Dec 12, 2026FC BocholtvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Dec 12, 2026Paderborn IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- Dec 12, 2026WiedenbrückvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Dec 12, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsSchalke 04 II
- Dec 12, 2026FC GuterslohvsKöln II