Borussia Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach 1-3 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Borussia Dortmund II 3-1 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-3 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund II on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bergisch Gladbach.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsBonner SC
- Dec 12, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsHilden
- Dec 12, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsBochum II
- Dec 12, 2026FC BocholtvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Dec 12, 2026Paderborn IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- Dec 12, 2026WiedenbrückvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Dec 12, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsSchalke 04 II
- Dec 12, 2026FC GuterslohvsKöln II