Match

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte

Sportfreunde LotteBorussia Dortmund II

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869) and Borussia Dortmund II (1,967).

Sportfreunde Lotte win26 %
Draw25 %
Borussia Dortmund II win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Borussia Dortmund II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21(away)4-1Premier League International Cup
Aug 14, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026Köln II(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Bochum II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Borussia Dortmund II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 30, 2026Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Aug 10, 2025Sportfreunde Lotte 3-5 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Jan 31, 2021Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Sep 16, 2020Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Dec 14, 2019Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Aug 4, 2019Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15
Borussia Dortmund II1.71.3210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Borussia Dortmund II3120535
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II played?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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