Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869) and Borussia Dortmund II (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 4-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Borussia Dortmund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Bonner SCvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- May 22, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsFC Gutersloh
- May 22, 2027Bergisch GladbachvsSportfreunde Siegen
- May 22, 2027Köln IIvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- May 22, 2027Schalke 04 IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- May 22, 2027HildenvsPaderborn II
- May 22, 2027Westfalia RhynernvsFC Bocholt
- May 22, 2027Bochum IIvsWiedenbrück