Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Lusitânia Lourosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (1,893) and Lusitânia Lourosa (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sporting CP B win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sporting CP B 4-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Sporting CP B 1-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
- Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.