Sporting CP B vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (2,001) and Tondela (2,050).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP B vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP B
4-2-3-1- 78Mauro Couto
- 96Samuel Justo
- 40M. Tanlongo
- 76Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 73Eduardo Felicíssimo
- 59Kauã Oliveira
- 95Lucas Taibo
- 50Rodrigo Dias
- 68Daniel Costa
- 85Rafael Mota
- 99Francisco Silva
Tondela
4-3-3- 19Tómané
- 26A. van der Heide
- 17G. Novero
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Tondela have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 4-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Farense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 3rd in Segunda Liga (12 points from 6 matches) and Tondela sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Tondela played?
- Sporting CP B vs Tondela is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.