Ordino vs Carroi: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Carroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ordino vs Carroi?
Ordino starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,435 vs 1,325).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ordino have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Carroi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carroi(home) | 5-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ordino win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ordino 5-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Carroi 3-1 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ordino 3-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| May 19, 2024 | Ordino 1-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Carroi 0-2 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Ordino 4-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
How many goals should we expect?
Ordino score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carroi score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordino | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Carroi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ordino sit 7th in 1a Divisió (22 points from 24 matches) and Carroi sit 8th (17 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ordino | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 42 | 22 |
| 8 | Carroi | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ordino vs Carroi?
- The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Carroi.
- Where and when is Ordino vs Carroi played?
- Ordino vs Carroi is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.