Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, Ordino
The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sporting Escaldes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penya Encarnada wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,770 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
Penya Encarnada is a heavy favourite: 1,380 Elo points against 1,013, a 367-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Escaldes
4-3-3- 19Aarón Sánchez
- 7E. Balentin
- 17F. Serra
- 8Joao Luz
- 20A. Arreola
- 23L. Salguero
- 27E. Vargas
- 75A. Alfaiate
- 3C. Ramirez
- 4Emili García
- 22L. Ferreiro
Penya Encarnada
4-3-3- 10D. Farhat
- 19Sascha
- 27I. Pinilla
- 8J. Garcia
- 6E. M. Freixas
- 12A. Ricardo
- 3F. Rabago
- 5F. Molina
- 33G. V. Quichini dos Santos
- 2R. M. Mesquita Lopes de Souza
- 41M. Olmo
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Escaldes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(home) | 1-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(home) | 1-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sporting Escaldes wins, 0 draws, 3 Penya Encarnada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 2-0 Sporting Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Sporting Escaldes 1-6 Penya Encarnada | 2a Divisió |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Penya Encarnada 12-0 Sporting Escaldes | 2a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Escaldes score 1.2 and concede 3.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Escaldes | 1.2 | 3.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Escaldes sit 9th in 1a Divisió (4 points from 7 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 8th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Sporting Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sporting Escaldes.
- Where and when is Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Sporting Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.