Sprockhovel vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Klein Arena, Sprockhövel
The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Vreden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sprockhovel vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Sprockhovel (1,648) and Vreden (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sprockhovel have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Schermbeck(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sprockhovel win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Vreden 1-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sprockhovel 2-4 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Vreden 2-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Vreden 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Vreden | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sprockhovel sit 6th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sprockhovel vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Sprockhovel vs Vreden played?
- Sprockhovel vs Vreden is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Klein Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026MaaslingenvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Sep 6, 2026Eintracht RheinevsASC Dortmund
- Sep 6, 2026SchermbeckvsHiltrup
- Sep 6, 2026Lippstadt 08vsVerl II
- Sep 6, 2026ErkenschwickvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Sep 6, 2026GievenbeckvsPreußen Münster II
- Sep 6, 2026EnnepetalvsVictoria Clarholz
- Sep 6, 2026TuS HordelvsArminia II