Match

Vreden vs Arminia II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden

VredenArminia II

The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vreden vs Arminia II?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Vreden (1,658) and Arminia II (1,715).

Vreden win41 %
Draw23 %
Arminia II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Arminia II have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vreden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Maaslingen(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)5-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Hiltrup(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Erkenschwick(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026ASC Dortmund(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Arminia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Schermbeck(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Rheine(home)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Sprockhovel(away)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vreden win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arminia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Arminia II 5-1 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 9, 2025Vreden 2-6 Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Arminia II vs Vreden on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vreden1.62.148/159/15
Arminia II1.71.549/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Arminia II sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vreden2200726
8Arminia II3111754

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Arminia II?
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Arminia II.
Where and when is Vreden vs Arminia II played?
Vreden vs Arminia II is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vreden and Arminia II

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