Vreden vs Arminia II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vreden vs Arminia II?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Vreden (1,658) and Arminia II (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Arminia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vreden win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arminia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arminia II 5-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Vreden 2-6 Arminia II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Arminia II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Arminia II sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Arminia II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Arminia II?
- The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Arminia II.
- Where and when is Vreden vs Arminia II played?
- Vreden vs Arminia II is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Eintracht RheinevsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Dec 6, 2026ASC DortmundvsVerl II
- Dec 6, 2026SprockhovelvsPreußen Münster II
- Dec 6, 2026SchermbeckvsErkenschwick
- Dec 6, 2026MaaslingenvsHiltrup
- Dec 6, 2026Lippstadt 08vsGievenbeck
- Dec 6, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsVictoria Clarholz
- Dec 6, 2026TuS HordelvsEnnepetal