SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Schwaben Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg?
SpVgg Unterhaching starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Schwaben Augsburg have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Schwaben Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching 5-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 0-3 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Schwaben Augsburg.
- Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg played?
- SpVgg Unterhaching vs Schwaben Augsburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.