Eltersdorf vs TSV 1860 München: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for TSV 1860 München. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs TSV 1860 München?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,918) and TSV 1860 München (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; TSV 1860 München have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and TSV 1860 München sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs TSV 1860 München?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for TSV 1860 München.
- Where and when is Eltersdorf vs TSV 1860 München played?
- Eltersdorf vs TSV 1860 München is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.