SS Reyes vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate SS Reyes (1,988) and Numancia (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 SS Reyes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Numancia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | SS Reyes 7-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Numancia 1-1 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Numancia 1-0 SS Reyes | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Numancia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SS Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Numancia?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Numancia.
- Where and when is SS Reyes vs Numancia played?
- SS Reyes vs Numancia is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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