Match

SS Reyes vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS ReyesNumancia

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate SS Reyes (1,988) and Numancia (1,943).

SS Reyes win48 %
Draw27 %
Numancia win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaragoza(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Poblense(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Poblense(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Langreo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 SS Reyes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Numancia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2024SS Reyes 7-1 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 12, 2023Numancia 1-1 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 13, 2022Numancia 1-0 SS ReyesFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SS Reyes vs Numancia on Mar 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15
Numancia1.30.949/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Numancia?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Numancia.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs Numancia played?
SS Reyes vs Numancia is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SS Reyes and Numancia

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