Salamanca UDS vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab AI model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salamanca UDS wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,917) and Numancia (1,972).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salamanca UDS vs Numancia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salamanca UDS
Not enough data to predict the Salamanca UDS lineup.
Numancia
4-4-2- 18Pablo Cortés
- 9Jony González
- 14César Moreno
- 19I. Leon
- 8M. Gning
- 20J. Dominguez
- 23Borja López
- 4Pelayo Suárez
- 5Fran González
- 27S. Flores
- 13G. Sunico
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Numancia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Salamanca UDS wins, 2 draws, 2 Numancia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Salamanca UDS 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Numancia 3-1 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Numancia 2-0 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Salamanca UDS vs Numancia on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca UDS score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salamanca UDS sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 8 matches) and Numancia sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Numancia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Salamanca UDS | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Salamanca UDS vs Numancia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Numancia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Numancia.
- Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Numancia played?
- Salamanca UDS vs Numancia is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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