Hennef 05 vs TuS BW Königsdorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 20Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, Hennef
The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hennef 05 vs TuS BW Königsdorf?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hennef 05 (1,698) and TuS BW Königsdorf (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hennef 05 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; TuS BW Königsdorf have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hennef 05 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Hennef 05 1-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Hennef 05 2-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 8, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 2-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Hennef 05 2-0 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05 on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hennef 05 sit 12th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (35 points from 30 matches) and TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hennef 05 vs TuS BW Königsdorf?
- The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Hennef 05 vs TuS BW Königsdorf played?
- Hennef 05 vs TuS BW Königsdorf is played on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.