Match

SSVg Velbert vs Monheim: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 31Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert

SSVg VelbertMonheim

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Monheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Monheim?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,810) and Monheim (1,736).

SSVg Velbert win51 %
Draw22 %
Monheim win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Monheim have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Monheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026BW Dingden(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Büderich(away)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 19, 2026Siegburger SV(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 3, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-0Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 SSVg Velbert win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Monheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2025SSVg Velbert 3-0 MonheimOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 6, 2024Monheim 0-2 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
May 18, 2023Monheim 2-3 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 11, 2022SSVg Velbert 4-1 MonheimOberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 22, 2022SSVg Velbert 5-1 MonheimOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 28, 2021Monheim 0-3 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Monheim on Mar 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monheim score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15
Monheim1.32.138/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Monheim sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
5Monheim2110324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Monheim?
The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Monheim.
Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Monheim played?
SSVg Velbert vs Monheim is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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