Match

SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 31Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen

SW EssenSC St. Tönis

The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis?

SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,721).

24%21%55%
SW Essen winDrawSC St. Tönis win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SW Essen

Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.

SC St. Tönis

4-3-3
  1. 12M. Heffungs
  2. 15F. Omorou
  3. 25B. Brusdeilins
  1. 33Jonas Theuerzeit
  2. 14K. Nakano
  3. 26L. Castrop
  1. 28F. Okihara
  2. 24M. Pohlig
  3. 4M. Darwish
  4. 6L. Esposito
  1. 1S. Sell

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 04:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SW Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(away)0-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 10, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)0-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026Monheim(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home)1-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 20, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)2-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Holzheimer SG(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 11, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)2-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026Büderich(home)4-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 18, 2026Schonnebeck(away)1-3Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SW Essen win, 1 draw, 4 SC St. Tönis wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026SW Essen 1-4 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 28, 2025SC St. Tönis 4-2 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
May 4, 2025SW Essen 3-2 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 10, 2024SC St. Tönis 2-2 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
May 12, 2024SW Essen 2-3 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 19, 2023SC St. Tönis 2-1 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SW Essen score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SW Essen1.22.8110/1510/15
SC St. Tönis1.62.7210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SW Essen sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 8 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4SC St. Tönis8422171214
15SW Essen813411186

A question about SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis?
The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis played?
SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SW Essen and SC St. Tönis

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