Where and when is SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis played?

SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 31Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen

SW Essen

SC St. Tönis

The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,733) and SC St. Tönis (1,832).

SW Essen win31 %

Draw21 %

SC St. Tönis win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

SC St. Tönis
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt(home)	0-11	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Solingen-Wald(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Hilden(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SW Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SC St. Tönis win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	SW Essen 1-4 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 28, 2025	SC St. Tönis 4-2 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 4, 2025	SW Essen 3-2 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 10, 2024	SC St. Tönis 2-2 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 12, 2024	SW Essen 2-3 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 19, 2023	SC St. Tönis 2-1 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15
SC St. Tönis	1.9	2.5	4	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	SC St. Tönis	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
16	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis?: The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis played?: SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.