Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen played?

SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen is played on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 19Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert

SSVg Velbert

SW Essen

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,812) and SW Essen (1,736).

SSVg Velbert win51 %

Draw22 %

SW Essen win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSVg Velbert
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SW Essen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	0-8	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026	Paderborn II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SW Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SW Essen 1-4 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 6, 2025	SW Essen 0-0 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 16, 2024	SSVg Velbert 2-0 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 23, 2023	SW Essen 0-3 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 15, 2022	SSVg Velbert 2-1 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 28, 2022	SW Essen 1-0 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SSVg Velbert	1.3	2.1	2	10/15	10/15
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SSVg Velbert	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
16	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen?: The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen played?: SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen is played on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.