SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 19Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert
The Footlab AI model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen?
SSVg Velbert starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SSVg Velbert
Not enough data to predict the SSVg Velbert lineup.
SW Essen
Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; SW Essen have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert wins, 1 draw, 1 SW Essen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen 1-4 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 6, 2025 | SW Essen 0-0 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 16, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 2-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 23, 2023 | SW Essen 0-3 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 15, 2022 | SSVg Velbert 2-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 28, 2022 | SW Essen 1-0 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SSVg Velbert score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.2 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSVg Velbert sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (18 points from 8 matches) and SW Essen sit 15th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 18 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab AI model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen played?
- SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen is played on February 19, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 19, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Feb 19, 2027Holzheimer SGvsSolingen-Wald
- Feb 21, 2027SchonnebeckvsWuppertaler SV
- Feb 21, 2027ScherpenbergvsSonsbeck
- Feb 21, 2027BW DingdenvsMonheim
- Feb 21, 2027SF BaumbergvsMeerbusch
- Feb 21, 2027BüderichvsGermania Ratingen
- Feb 21, 2027SC St. TönisvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.