ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd: result 3-3 and analysis
Challenge CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)McDiarmid Park, Perth
Full time
What was the result of ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?
ST Johnstone and Ayr Utd drew 3-3 on February 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′G. OakleyAyr Utd
- 29′G. OakleyAyr Utd
- 30′J. McPakeST Johnstone (pen.)
- 47′K. HoltAyr Utd
- 89′L. SmithST Johnstone
- 90′J. GullanST Johnstone
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Johnstone have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ayr Utd have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Partick(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Partick(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 ST Johnstone win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Ayr Utd 2-4 ST Johnstone | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | ST Johnstone 0-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2023 | ST Johnstone 1-2 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Jul 23, 2022 | ST Johnstone 1-0 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Ayr Utd 1-2 ST Johnstone | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ST Johnstone score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy