St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Lions Gibraltar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar?
St Joseph S Fc is a heavy favourite: 1,624 Elo points against 1,306, a 317-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Joseph S Fc have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lions Gibraltar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 St Joseph S Fc win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lions Gibraltar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc 3-3 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 0-4 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 3-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| May 3, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 6-0 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 1-1 Lions Gibraltar | Rock Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 1-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Lions Gibraltar.
- Where and when is St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar played?
- St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.