Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Mons Calpe. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc?
St Joseph S Fc starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,624 vs 1,362).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mons Calpe have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; St Joseph S Fc have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mons Calpe win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 St Joseph S Fc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe 3-2 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Mons Calpe 1-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 1-3 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 2-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Mons Calpe 1-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Mons Calpe 0-2 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mons Calpe sit 4th in Premier Division (55 points from 27 matches) and St Joseph S Fc sit 2nd (63 points from 27 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Joseph S Fc | 27 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 96 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Mons Calpe | 27 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Mons Calpe.
- Where and when is Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc played?
- Mons Calpe vs St Joseph S Fc is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.