ST Mirren vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motherwell wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate ST Mirren (1,810) and Motherwell (1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Mirren vs Motherwell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Mirren
3-4-3- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 9Eseosa Sule
- 16L. Thomas
- 47C. Ramsay
- 88K. Phillips
- 3D. John
- 30F. Taylor
- 13A. Gogić
- 22M. Fraser
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 1J. Chapman
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 8L. Fadinger
- 13J. Kanga
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Mirren have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Motherwell have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ST Mirren win, 2 draws, 3 Motherwell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Motherwell 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ST Mirren 3-3 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Feb 21, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-5 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Motherwell 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Motherwell 1-4 ST Mirren | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Motherwell vs ST Mirren on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ST Mirren score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Mirren sit 8th in Premiership (14 points from 13 matches) and Motherwell sit 9th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ST Mirren | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
A question about ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is ST Mirren vs Motherwell played?
- ST Mirren vs Motherwell is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The SMISA Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.