Match

St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli IIVfB Lübeck

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Lübeck wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck?

VfB Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,782).

37%25%38%
St. Pauli II winDrawVfB Lübeck win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

St. Pauli II

Not enough data to predict the St. Pauli II lineup.

VfB Lübeck

Not enough data to predict the VfB Lübeck lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026VfB Oldenburg(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Nov 1, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 25, 2026Weiche Flensburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 17, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 11, 2026HSC Hannover(home)3-4Regionalliga - Nord
VfB Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Kickers Emden(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 31, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-5Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 17, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 2, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Pauli II win, 2 draws, 3 VfB Lübeck wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Lübeck 4-1 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Nov 29, 2025St. Pauli II 1-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 28, 2025VfB Lübeck 1-1 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Dec 14, 2024VfB Lübeck 2-0 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 29, 2024St. Pauli II 1-3 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 19, 2023St. Pauli II 2-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II1.61.737/159/15
VfB Lübeck1.51.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nord (14 points from 16 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 9th (19 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9VfB Lübeck16475232919
17St. Pauli II164210283114

A question about St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck played?
St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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