Stabæk II vs Staal Jørpeland: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nadderud Kunstgress, Bekkestua
The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 52%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Staal Jørpeland. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stabæk II vs Staal Jørpeland?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Stabæk II (1,551) and Staal Jørpeland (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stabæk II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Staal Jørpeland have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Varhaug(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Våg(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odd II(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Åkra(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mandalskameratene(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Hinna(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Stabæk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Staal Jørpeland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland 1-2 Stabæk II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
Last archived meeting: Staal Jørpeland vs Stabæk II on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stabæk II score 2.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Staal Jørpeland score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabæk II | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Staal Jørpeland | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stabæk II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 4 (20 points from 16 matches) and Staal Jørpeland sit 10th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stabæk II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 20 |
| 10 | Staal Jørpeland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stabæk II vs Staal Jørpeland?
- The Footlab model makes Stabæk II the favourite at 52%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Staal Jørpeland.
- Where and when is Stabæk II vs Staal Jørpeland played?
- Stabæk II vs Staal Jørpeland is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nadderud Kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.